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Rules for Traders
1. Follow the trends. This is probably some of the hardest advice for a
trader to follow because the personality of the typical futures trader is not
"one of the crowd." Futures traders (and futures brokers) are highly
individualistic; the markets seem to attract those who are. Very simply, it
takes a special kind of person, not "one of the crowd," to earn enough
risk capital to get involved in the futures markets. So the typical trader and
the typical broker must guard against their natural instincts to be highly
individualistic, to buck the trend.
2. Know why you are in the markets. To relieve boredom? To hit it big? When you
can honestly answer this question, you may be on your way to successful futures
trading.
3. Use a system, any system, and stick to it.
4. Apply money management techniques to your trading.
5. Do not overtrade.
6. Take a position only when you know where your profit goal is and where you
are going to get out if the market goes against you.
7. Trade with the trends, rather than trying to pick tops and bottoms.
8. Don't trade many markets with little capital.
9. Don't just trade the volatile contracts.
10. Calculate the risk/reward ratio before putting a trade on, then
guard against holding it too long.
11. Establish your trading plans before the market opening to eliminate
emotional reactions. Decide on entry points, exit points, and objectives.
Subject your decisions to only minor changes during the session. Profits are for
those who act, not react. Don't change during the session unless you have a very
good reason.
12. Follow your plan. Once a position is established and stops are selected, do
not get out unless the stop is reached or the fundamental reason for taking the
position changes.
13. Use technical signals (charts) to maintain discipline-the vast majority of
traders are not emotionally equipped to stay disciplined without some technical
tools.
14. Have a disciplined, detailed trading plan for each trade; i.e., entry,
objective, exit, with no changes unless hard data changes. Disciplined money
management means intelligent trading allocation and risk management. The overall
objective is end-of-year bottom line, not each individual trade.
15. When you have a successful trade, fight the natural tendency to give some of
it back.
16. Use a disciplined trade selection system...an organized, systematic process
to eliminate impulse or emotional trading.
17. Trade with a plan-not with hope, greed, or fear. Plan where you will get in
the market, how much you will risk on the trade, and where you will take your
profits.
18. Most importantly, cut your losses short and let your profits run. It sounds
simple, but it isn't. Let's look at some of the reasons many traders have a hard
time "cutting losses short." First, it's hard for any of us to admit
we've made a mistake. Let's say a position starts going against you, and all
your "good" reasons for putting the position on are still there. You
say to yourself, "it's only a temporary set-back. After all (you reason),
the more the position goes against me, the better chance it has to come back-the
odds will catch up." Also, the reasons for entering the trade are still
there. By now you've lost quite a bit; you sell yourself on giving it "one
more day." It's easy to convince yourself because, by this time, you
probably aren't thinking very clearly about the position. Besides, you've lost
so much already, what's a little more? Panic sets in, and then comes the worst,
the most devastating, the most fallacious reasoning of all, when you figure:
"That contract doesn't expire for a few more months; things are bound to
turn around in the meantime."
So it goes; so cut those losses short. In fact, many experienced traders say if
a position still goes against you the third day in, get out. Cut those losses
fast, before the losing position starts to infect you, before you "fall in
love" with it. The easiest way is to inscribe across the front of your
brain, "Cut my losses fast." Use stop loss orders, aim for a $500 per
contract loss limit...or whatever works for you, but do it.
Now to the "letting profits run" side of the equation. This is even
harder because who knows when those profits will stop running? Well, of course,
no one does, but there are some things to consider. First of all, be aware that
there is an urge in all of us to want to win...even if it's only by a narrow
margin. Most of us were raised that way. Win-even if it's only by one touchdown,
one point, or one run. Following that philosophy almost assures you of losing in
the futures markets because the nature of trading futures usually means that
there are more losers than winners. The winners are often big, big, big winners,
not "one run" winners. Here again, you have to fight human nature.
Let's say you've had several losses (like most traders), and now one of your
positions is developing into a pretty good winner. The temptation to close it
out is universally overwhelming. You're sick about all those losses, and here's
a chance to cash in on a pretty good winner. You don't want it to get away.
Besides, it gives you a nice warm feeling to close out a winning position and
tell yourself (and maybe even your friends) how smart you were (particularly if
you're beginning to doubt yourself because of all those past losers). That kind
of reasoning and emotionalism have no place in futures trading; therefore, the
next time you are about to close out a winning position, ask yourself why. If
the cold, calculating, sound reasons you used to put on the position are still
there, you should strongly consider staying. Of course, you can use trailing
stops to protect your profits, but if you are exiting a winning position out of
fear...don't; out of greed...don't; out of ego... don't; out of
impatience...don't; out of anxiety...don't; out of sound fundamental and/or
technical reasoning...do.
19. You can avoid the emotionalism, the second guessing, the wondering, the
agonizing, if you have a sound trading plan (including price objectives, entry
points, exit points, risk-reward ratios, stops, information about historical
price levels, seasonal influences, government reports, prices of related
markets, chart analysis, etc.) and follow it. Most traders don't want to bother,
they like to "wing it." Perhaps they think a plan might take the fun
out of it for them. If you're like that and trade futures for the fun of it,
fine. If you're trying to make money without a plan-forget it. Trading a sound,
smart plan is the answer to cutting your losses short and letting your profits
run.
20. Do not overstay a good market. If you do, you are bound to overstay a bad
one also.
21. Take your lumps, just be sure they are little lumps. Very successful traders
generally have more losing trades than winning trades. They don't have any
hang-ups about admitting they're wrong, and have the ability to close out losing
positions quickly.
22. Trade all positions in futures on a performance basis. The position must
give a profit by the end of the third day after the position is taken, or else
get out.
23. Program your mind to accept many small losses. Program your mind to
"sit still" for a few large gains.
24. Most people would rather own something (go long) than owe something (go
short). Markets can (and should) also be traded from the short side.
25. Watch for divergences in related markets-is one market making a new high and
another not following?
26. Recognize that fear, greed. ignorance, generosity, stupidity, impatience.
self-delusion, etc., can cost you a lot more money than the market(s) going
against you, and that there is no fundamental method to recognize these factors.
27. Don't blindly follow computer trading. A computer trading plan is only as
good as the program. As the old saying goes, "Garbage in, garbage
out."
28. Learn the basics of futures trading. It's amazing how many people simply
don't know what they're doing. They're bound to lose, unless they have a strong
broker to guide them and keep them out of trouble.
29. Standing aside is a position.
30. Client and broker must have rapport. Chemistry between account executive and
client is very important; the odds of picking the right AE the first time are
remote. Pick a broker who will protect you from yourself...greed, ego, fear,
subconscious desire to lose (actually true with some traders). Ask someone who
trades if they know a good futures broker. If you find one who has room for you,
give him your account.
31. Sometimes, when things aren't going well and you're thinking about changing
brokerage firms, think about just changing AEs instead. Phone the manager of the
local office, let him describe some of the other AEs in the office, and see if
any of them seem right enough to have a first meeting with. Don't worry about
getting your account executive in trouble; the office certainly would rather
have you switch AEs than to lose your business altogether.
32. Broker/client psychology must be in tune, or else the broker and client
should part company early in the program. Client and broker should be in touch
repeatedly, so when the time comes, both parties are mentally programmed to take
the necessary action without delay.
33. Most people do not have the time or the experience to trade futures
profitably, so choosing a broker is the most important step to profitable
futures trading.
34. When you go stale, get out of the markets for a while. Trading futures is
demanding, and can be draining-especially when you're losing. Step back; get
away from it all to recharge your batteries.
35. If you're in futures simply for the thrill of gambling, you'll probably lose
because, chances are, the money does not mean as much to you as the excitement.
Just knowing this about yourself may cause you to be more prudent, which could
improve your trading record. Have a business-like approach to the markets.
Anyone who is inclined to speculate in futures should look at speculation as a
business, and treat it as such. Do not regard it as a pure gamble, as so many
people do. If speculation is a business, anyone in that business should learn
and understand it to the best of his/her ability.
36. When you open an account with a broker, don't just decide on the amount of
money, decide on the length of time you should trade. This approach helps you
conserve your equity, and helps avoid the Las Vegas approach of "Well, I'll
trade till my stake runs out."
37. Don't trade on rumors. If you have, ask yourself this: "Over the long
run, have I made money or lost money trading on rumors?" O.K. then, stop
it.
38. Beware of all tips and inside information. Wait for the market's action to
tell you if the information you've obtained is accurate, then take a position
with the developing trend.
39. Don't trade unless you're well financed...so that market action, not
financial condition, dictates your entry and exit from the market. If you don't
start with enough money, you may not be able to hang in there if the market
temporarily turns against you.
40. Be more careful if you're extra smart. Smart people very often put on a
position a little too early. They see the potential for a price movement before
it becomes actual. They become worn out or "tapped out," and aren't
around when a big move finally gets underway. They were too busy trading to make
money.
41. Stay out of trouble, your first loss is your smallest loss.
42. Analyze your losses. Learn from your losses. They're expensive lessons; you
paid for them. Most traders don't learn from their mistakes because they don't
like to think about them.
43. If you're just getting into the markets, be a small trader for at least a
year, then analyze your good trades and your bad ones. You can really learn more
from your bad ones.
44. Carry a notebook with you, and jot down interesting market information.
Write down the market openings, price ranges, your fills, stop orders, and your
own personal observations. Re-read your notes from time to time; use them to
help analyze your performance.
45. "Rome was not built in a day," and no real movement of importance
takes place in one day. A speculator should have enough excess margin in his
account to provide staying power so he can participate in big moves.
46. Take windfall profits (profits that have no sound reasons for occurring).
47. Periodically redefine the kind of capital you have in the markets. If your
personal financial situation changes and the risk capital becomes necessary
capital, don't wait for "just one more day" or "one more price
tick," get out right away. If you don't, you'll most likely start trading
with your heart instead of your head, and then you'll surely lose.
48. Always use stop orders, always...always...always.
49. Don't use the markets to feed your need for excitement. 50.
Futures trading contains substantial risk, is not
for every trader, and only risk capital should be used. Any form of trading,
including options, hedging and spreads contains risk. Past performance is not
indicative of future results. Margins are subject to change without notice.
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